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Heritage scientist timeline – Athol Rafter

Athol Rafter was a pioneer of radiocarbon dating – the Rafter Radiocarbon Laboratory at GNS Sciences, Lower Hutt, is named after him. Rafter played a part in the early development of what became one of the most important dating tools in archaeology. Even now, more than 60 years after the technique was first developed, improvements continue to be made to give greater accuracy and reliability.

Profile shot of Athol Rafter, nuclear chemist (1913–1996).

Athol Rafter, nuclear chemist

Athol Rafter (1913–1996) pioneered the technique of radiocarbon dating in New Zealand and began the long-term measurement of 14CO2 in the atmosphere.

Rights: GNS Science

The technique, first developed in America in 1949, created a revolution in the dating of archaeological material. Radiocarbon dating uses the carbon-14 isotope in organic material to work out the ages of once-living things. Rafter and colleagues immediately saw uses for the technique in New Zealand and tried it out. The new method proved to be a bit unreliable, so Rafter and his team set about solving some of the problems. Their improvements had a lasting impact on the worldwide use of the technique.

...the guiding principle must be ‘you must never give up’.

Athol Rafter

Rafter went on to run the Institute of Nuclear Science in Lower Hutt, and the dating facility was renamed the Rafter Radiocarbon Laboratory to mark his 80th birthday in 1993. Radiocarbon dating has continued to improve. The original method counted radioactive particles given off by carbon-14 atoms. Since 1977, the isotope atoms have been counted directly, making the dating much more accurate. As part of Rafter’s scientific legacy, New Zealand continues to play an important role in these developments and now has two radiocarbon dating laboratories that receive samples from all over the world.

Athol Rafter in office looking through photo album.

Athol Rafter retires

To mark Athol Rafter’s 80th birthday, the Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences named their dating facility the Rafter Radiocarbon Laboratory.

Rights: GNS Science

Another aspect of Rafter’s work has also left a lasting legacy. He and Gordon Fergusson were the first to notice an increase in radiocarbon in the atmosphere as a result of nuclear weapons testing in the 1950s. Measurements of radiocarbon in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere were started at Makara, near Wellington, in 1954. Data is still being collected by NIWA and is the longest running record of its kind in the world. Data from the programme plays an important part in recording increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which is causing widespread concern due to its involvement in global warming.

The timeline below lets you see aspects of Athol's life and work, and how his findings changed scientific thinking. A full timeline transcript is here.

Athol Rafter – nuclear chemist

  • Changing scientific ideas
  • Advances in science and technology
  • Biography
1902
1902
Rutherford and radioactivity

Ernest Rutherford and Frederick Soddy (pictured) suggest that radioactivity might be used to date minerals and rocks.

1913
1913
Born in Wellington

Full name Thomas Athol Rafter, but becomes known as Athol.

1935
1935
University

Obtains BSc at Victoria University College, Wellington.

1938
1938
More studies

Chemistry MSc at Victoria University College, Wellington. Becomes school teacher.

1939
1939
Marriage

Marries Ruby Valerie Organ, known as Val.

1940
1940
Carbon-14 discovered

University of Waikato

Sam Kamen and Martin Ruben discover C-14, a radioactive isotope of carbon, at University of California, Berkeley.

1940
Beginning research

Becomes research scientist at Dominion Laboratory, analysing coal ash and uranium-bearing minerals.

1946
1946
Carbon-14 in living things?

Willard Libby in America predicts that C-14 exists in living matter.

1947
1947
Prediction proved

Willard Libby (pictured) and Ernie Anderson make first detection of C-14 in biological material

1948
1948
Training in radioactivity

GNS Science

Is sent to America to learn about radioactivity.

1949
1949
1st radiocarbon revolution

Radiocarbon dating becomes one of the most important dating methods in archaeology.

1949
Radiocarbon dating

Willard Libby and colleagues develop radiocarbon dating using radioactive decay of isotopes in solid carbon

1949
Radiocarbon dating

Begins working on new technique of radiocarbon dating.

1953
1953
Improving radiocarbon dating

Rafter improves method of radiocarbon dating, making it more accurate than Libby’s original method.

1953
First New Zealand dates

University of Waikato

Rafter and Gordon Fergusson obtain first radiocarbon dates for moa bones and Taupo ash layers.

1954
1954
Atmospheric radiocarbon

The measurement of C-14 in atmospheric CO2 started at Makara, Wellington

1957
1957
Atom bomb effect

In the 1950s, there is a growing realisation that the proportion of C-14 to C-12 and C-13 in the atmosphere is not uniform over time or space or in its uptake by different types of organic matter. For example, between 1955 and 1963, the use of atomic bombs doubled the amount of C-14 in our atmosphere. With Fergusson, Rafter links a measured increase in radiocarbon in the atmosphere with nuclear weapons testing.

1957
Publication of ‘The Atom Bomb Effect’

Rafter and colleague Gordon Fergusson publish their paper ‘The Atom Bomb Effect' in the New Zealand Journal of Science and Technology. The paper summarises their findings from measurements of C-14 levels in the environment, particularly in the atmosphere and surface ocean. The atmospheric data is collected from Makara.

The results are announced to the wider scientific community when published in Science (USA) Volume 126 on 20 September 1957.

1958
1958
Increased accuracy

Public domain

Calibration curves allow radiocarbon dates to be converted to calendar dates. Across the late 50s and 60s scientists, recognise that C-14 in the atmosphere varies through time and from place to place – for example, the atom bomb testing that skewed C-14 levels in the 50s and 60s.

1958
2nd radiocarbon revolution

Accuracy greatly improved using a calibration curve based on tree ring dating.

Accuracy greatly improved using a calibration curve based on tree ring dating.

1958
Receives OBE

Receives OBE (Officer of the Most Excellent Order of the British Empire) for services to science and education.

1959
1959
New dating facility

Department of Science and Industrial Research (DSIR) Institute of Nuclear Science is set up in Lower Hutt.

1959
Institute of Nuclear Science

GNS Science

Becomes first director of Department of Science and Industrial Research (DSIR) Institute of Nuclear Science in Lower Hutt.

1960
1960
Libby Nobel Prize

Libby receives the Nobel Prize in chemistry for his radiocarbon dating work.

1968
1968
Awarded DSc

Awarded DSc (Honorary doctorate in science) by Victoria University of Wellington for his radiocarbon work and geothermal studies using oxygen isotopes.

1969
1969
Cambridge half-life

It is discovered early on that Libby’s original estimate of the half-life of C-14 – 5,568 years – is out by 162 years. Improved estimates available by the late 1960s set it at 5,730 years. This updated value is known as the ‘Cambridge half-life’.

This means that many calculated dates in papers published prior to this are incorrect. For consistency with these early papers and to avoid the risk of a double correction for the incorrect half-life, radiocarbon ages are still calculated using the incorrect half-life value of 5,568 years.

1972
1972
International conference

The 8th International Radiocarbon Conference is held in Lower Hutt, a sign of the important role played by Rafter and colleagues.

1974
1974
Second lab for NZ

University of Waikato

Waikato Radiocarbon Dating Laboratory is set up at University of Waikato.

1977
1977
3rd radiocarbon revolution

Accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) counts isotope atoms directly, making radiocarbon dating more accurate and using much smaller samples.

1978
1978
Athol retires

GNS Science

Although retired, Athol continues to be active on science committees. Plays bowls when time allows.

1987
1987
A southern hemisphere first

Lloyd Homer, GNS Science

An accelerator mass spectrometer at the Institute of Nuclear Science, Lower Hutt, is the first for radiocarbon dating in southern hemisphere.

1991
1991
New organisation

GNS Science

Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences (GNS), a new Crown Research Institute, is formed.

1992
1992
Athol’s wife, Val dies

Val had been Athol’s wife for 53 years.

1993
1993
Rafter Laboratory

GNS Science

To mark Rafter’s 80th birthday, the Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences names their dating facility the Rafter Radiocarbon Laboratory. 

1996
1996
Athol dies

GNS Science

Athol dies aged 83.

Aged 83

2006
2006
Bayesian statistical method

A shift to using the Bayesian statistical method means that radiocarbon dates are even more accurate. 

2006
Another increase in accuracy

Bayesian statistics and modern computers allow radiocarbon date ranges to be narrowed.

2010
2010
Atmospheric C-14 measurement continues

The C-14 measurements started by Rafter in 1954 continue. Longest such record in the world.

2010
New accelerator mass spectrometer opens

GNS Science Limited

19 May, Rafter Radiocarbon Laboratory gets new accelerator mass spectrometer, the only facility of its kind in the southern hemisphere. View the Rafter Laboratory AMS facility at GNS Science in this video.

2012
2012
Resetting the carbon clock

National Land Image Information (Color Aerial Photographs), Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism, Japan.

The sediment of Lake Suigetsu in Japan has preserved a time capsule of radioactive carbon dating back to 52,800 years ago.
Present calibration of radioactive curves for C-14 are based on only 12,550 years of terrestrial data, leaving approximately three-quarters of the timescale calibrated via less-secure marine records. Cores from this lake are expected to provide more precise terrestrial data that will make the process of carbon dating more accurate, refining estimates by hundreds of years.

The recalibrated clock won’t force archaeologists to abandon old measurements wholesale, but it could help to narrow the window of key events in human history.

2014
2014
Refining radiocarbon dating

Professor Tom Higham, University of Oxford

Professor Thomas Higham lead a team who re-tested a number of Upper Palaeolithic bone samples from across Europe. Higham used improved ultrafiltration to pre-treat the samples in order to refine the radiocarbon dating. The results, published in August 2014, showed a number of the past dates were inaccurate or wrong. This has provided new insights into Neanderthal distribution and extinction and has implications for other radiocarbon dates for ancient bone samples.

2017
2017
Present day and into the future

Radiocarbon dating was expected to establish an empirical foundation for absolute chronologies. However, refining of sample processing and calibration curves, the anomalies in some replicability of results and differing cultural inferences around dates are highlighting that scientists and archaeologists must continue to use multiple lines of evidence and robust networks when interpreting radiocarbon data and drawing subsequent conclusions.

 

Published:10 June 2010